Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004146 0.004360 0.004579 0.004821 0.005080 0.005350 0.005653
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003723 0.004037 0.004372 0.004757 0.005190 0.005664 0.006223
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003535 0.003914 0.004331 0.004827 0.005403 0.006055 0.006855
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003355 0.003776 0.004250 0.004827 0.005515 0.006318 0.007335
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003189 0.003638 0.004153 0.004793 0.005574 0.006508 0.007724
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003021 0.003486 0.004026 0.004710 0.005561 0.006600 0.007988
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002883 0.003360 0.003922 0.004645 0.005560 0.006701 0.008260
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002794 0.003288 0.003878 0.004648 0.005642 0.006904 0.008668
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002637 0.003125 0.003714 0.004491 0.005508 0.006818 0.008682
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002570 0.003071 0.003683 0.004502 0.005588 0.007013 0.009085
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002553 0.003077 0.003727 0.004608 0.005797 0.007389 0.009758
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002467 0.002994 0.003652 0.004553 0.005786 0.007461 0.009998
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002391 0.002920 0.003588 0.004513 0.005794 0.007562 0.010290
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002312 0.002841 0.003513 0.004455 0.005775 0.007622 0.010523
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002286 0.002830 0.003529 0.004519 0.005928 0.007934 0.011156
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002238 0.002787 0.003499 0.004519 0.005988 0.008113 0.011590
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002181 0.002730 0.003449 0.004487 0.006001 0.008219 0.011915
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002111 0.002654 0.003370 0.004412 0.005945 0.008217 0.012059
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002050 0.002589 0.003304 0.004352 0.005909 0.008245 0.012252
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002014 0.002557 0.003282 0.004355 0.005967 0.008418 0.012700
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001930 0.002456 0.003162 0.004212 0.005798 0.008226 0.012507
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001900 0.002431 0.003147 0.004221 0.005861 0.008406 0.012973
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001902 0.002447 0.003191 0.004318 0.006064 0.008819 0.013880